要做到对不同行业的精确估值是困难的,我的想法是拿股价与对应的资产比、与市场预期比、与存银行比,因此就产生了多个不同的估值区间,
图中的蓝区是市场估值区、红区是资产估值区、紫线是与银行存款比较,对于虚拟资产过大的股票似也可反应。国有银行因安全起见,证券化程度有限,故此法并不适用。别不多说请看下图:
VAR1:=1080531;
【回】:FINANCE(35)*(1+FINANCE(30)/FINANCE(19)*100*0.33),NODRAW;
【盈】:(FINANCE(21)/FINANCE(20)+0.038)*FINANCE(33)*100,COLORWHITE,NODRAW;
STICKLINE(DATE VAR1,【回】,【盈】,7,0),COLOR6A0000;
估:=(【回】+【盈】)/2,NODRAW;
IF(DATE VAR1,估,DRAWNULL),COLOREE8000;
绝S:=FINANCE(10)/FINANCE(1)*1.1;
绝X:=FINANCE(10)/FINANCE(1)*0.9;
STICKLINE(C 0,绝S,绝X,7,0),COLOR00005F;
资:FINANCE(10)/FINANCE(1), LINETHICK1,COLOR9E00EF;
银:FINANCE(29)/FINANCE(1)/3.87*100, LINETHICK2,COLORFF00EE;
LL:=BARSSINCE(FINANCE(42));
均:SUM(C,LL)/(LL+1),CIRCLEDOT,COLORRED;
权比:FINANCE(19)/(FINANCE(15)+FINANCE(16)),COLOR00FFCC,NODRAW;
P/EG:(C/FINANCE(33))/(FINANCE(21)/FINANCE(20)+0.038)/100,COLOR00FFCC,NODRAW;
ROE:FINANCE(30)/FINANCE(19)*100,COLOR00FFCC,NODRAW;
毛利率:FINANCE(21)/FINANCE(20)*100,COLOR00FFCC,NODRAW;
红息率:=FINANCE(29)/FINANCE(1)/C*100,COLOR00FFCC,NODRAW;
净资:FINANCE(35),COLOR00FFCC,NODRAW;
市净率:C/FINANCE(35),COLOR00FFCC,NODRAW;
市盈率:C/FINANCE(33),COLOR00FFCC,NODRAW;
收益:FINANCE(33),COLOR00FFCC,NODRAW;
公积金:=FINANCE(18),COLOR00FFCC,NODRAW;
WZ:=30=CURRBARSCOUNT;
DRAWTEXT(WZ=1 AND 估 =10*资,估*0.85,'虚拟过大'),COLORYELLOW;
DRAWKLINE(H,O,L,C);